Despite the uncertainties about the future, the challenge facing the world is to meet the rising energy demand linked with further economic growth while moving towards a low-carbon economy
Business as usual
If we do nothing, forecasts suggest that between now and 2030:
Global primary energy demand will rise by 53%, leading to a 55% increase in global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions
Fossil fuels will remain the dominant source of energy worldwide
As the demand for electricity rises, emissions from electricity generation
will account for 44% of global energy-related emissions by 2030
Coal will provide the
largest incremental source
of power generation, with
the majority of this increase
likely to be in China (55%)
Over 70% of the increase in global primary energy demand will come from
developing countries, reflecting rapid economic and population growth
Multi-energy solution
One controversial component of this
future mix may be nuclear energy
Nuclear power is clean
but has poor perception
There are other sources of renewable
energy; hydro power has been
harnessed for over a century now
Solar power is increasingly used to power heating and air conditioning in homes, especially in the Mediterranean
Large -scale generation is already occurring in Spain, Germany, Canada and the USA
There are plans to take advantage of the cloudless skies of the Sahara
A rich fuel mix is necessary to ensure energy security and to maintain an affordable supply for both individuals and industry
A multi-energy solution involves meeting future energy demands from a mixture of renewable, recyclable and non-renewable sources
In the UK, landfill gas
now contributes to
electricity generation
Nuclear power's second chance?
Attitudes to nuclear power are shifting in response to climate change and fears over the security of fossil fuel supplies
China and India are building several reactors and intend to increase their nuclear generating capacity in the next 15 years
The USA has experienced a rush of applications to build new reactors, and in the UK there is now government support for a new generation of nuclear power plants
By 2008, some 439 nuclear reactors in 31 countries were supplying 15% of the world's electricity, about 370 gigawatts a year
It is estimated that by 2030 this output will increase to 520 gigawatts
A big advantage of nuclear energy is that it does not produce greenhouse emissions, although there are some emissions associated with plant construction and uranium mining
Uranium is relatively cheap and easy to mine, and most commentators think that reserves are plentiful and will last for up to 150 years
Because it is used in small
quantities uranium is also
cost-effective to transport
There are many problems associated with nuclear power, highlighted by the 1986 incident at Chernobyl
Modern power stations are designed to be safe, using
'passive safety' systems that operate automatically
While new designs are safe, they still generate toxic waste in the form of radioactive
materials, which have to be transported and stored
This is difficult to
manage, politically as
well as technically
Nuclear plants
are also
expensive -
they can cost
several billion
pounds to
design and
build
The future of nuclear energy will depend on many factors, including successful waste
management, improved economics and convincing the public that nuclear energy is safe
Wind power
Wind generation produces about 1% of the global electricity supply
Large-scale wind farms are connected to electricity grids, while
individual turbines can provide electricity in isolated locations
In windpumps or mills, wind energy is used directly as
mechanical energy for pumping water or grinding grain
Wind energy is plentiful, renewable, widely distributed and clean, and it can reduce
greenhouse gas emissions by replacing fossil fuels as a source of electricity
Fluctuations in wind
speeds seldom create
problems when wind
power is used to
supply a low
proportion of total
demand
Wind farms have
met with local
opposition
Some people believe
they are unsightly,
make a droning noise
and pose danger to bird
There is no one source of energy that ticks all the boxes
for meeting rising energy demand without increasing
emissions, but wind power must come close in terms of
costs and sustainability
On the down side, it is claimed that much of the UK
would be covered by wind farms if they were to completely
replace fossil fuels as generators of electricity
Energy
Conservation
Individuals and organisations that are direct consumers of
energy may want to reduce consumption for a number of
reasons - to reduce costs, to reduce harmful emissions, or
to promote energy security on a regional or national scale
Energy conservation has been high on the political agenda of the EU in recent years
Countries have targets to reduce their carbon emissions and cut their energy
requirements by increasing the efficiency with which energy is consumed
For example, the UK is working towards a zero energy building standard for all new
housing by 2016
The energy conservation response to increasing energy demands is based on
decreasing the amount of energy used