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9953547
Series de tiempo usando Holt-Winters
Description
Mind Map on Series de tiempo usando Holt-Winters, created by ALEXANDRA MARROQUIN CASTILLO on 22/08/2017.
Mind Map by
ALEXANDRA MARROQUIN CASTILLO
, updated more than 1 year ago
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Created by
ALEXANDRA MARROQUIN CASTILLO
over 6 years ago
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Resource summary
Series de tiempo usando Holt-Winters
Series de tiempo
Gráficas
Comportamiento
Estacionales
Multiplicativo y aditivo
Multiplicativo
Fluctuaciones Variables
Aditivo
Fluctuaciones estables
Tendencia
Lineal
Exponencial
Amortiguada
Indice de Estacionalidad
Desviación
Estacionalidad
Primer orden
Segundo orden
Periodos
Patrones
Demanda
Datos históricos
Métodos
Suavizamiento Exponencial
Pesos exponenciales
Simple
Constante de suavizamiento
Alpha
Doble
Alpha
Constante para tendencia
Beta
Intercepción en el periodo
St
pendiente en el periodo
Gt
Holt
Triple
alpha
beta
St
Gt
Constante para tendencia
Y
Estimado valor estacional
Ct
Errores
MAPE
RAE
MSE
Pronósticos
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