Fritz Fischer's 'Fischer thesis' - Germany's ruling class was
determined to establish Germany as a world power and was
ready to wage a war of aggression to achieve its objective
Weltpolitik (1897) - Before 1914 the German government was
actively planning to achieve domination in Europe
and to enlarge Germany's overseas empire
In September 1914 Bethmann-Hollweg drafted a statement of war aims
(the 'September Programme') with objectives including: 1) the elimination
of France and Russia as independent Great Powers 2) the establishment
of a German controlled economic bloc in central and eastern Europe and
3) the creation of a vast German colony straddling Central Africa
Flottenpolitik - Germany began to expand its navy after the 1898
Naval Law and was seen as crucial to the expansion of the empire
This led to Anglo-German antagonism as Britain saw it as
a threat to their position as the world's superior naval and
imperial power, therefore the naval race developed
1906 = launch of the British battleship HMS Dreadnought
prompted German's massive naval expenditure
The Navy League (1898) promoted the navy as a patriotic symbol so naval
expansion won the support of industry, led to jobs and industrial growth - thus
Flottenpolitik had support from industrialists and had a positive domestic impact
First Moroccan Crisis (1905-6) = Wilhelm II visited Tangier, Morocco (within France's sphere of
influence) and pledged support for Moroccan independence against France (as G had economic
interests there). Germany demanded an international conference to discuss Morocco's future
(Algeciras Conference, 1906). France was allowed substantial (not full) control of Morocco
Germany's aim was to destroy the Anglo-French entente (believed Britain wouldn't
support France) but Britain backed France and the entente was strengthened - this
may have been to reduce the threat of an alliance in the case of war and to raise
European tension (dividing B, F and R would lead to the opportunity to dominate them)
Second Moroccan Crisis (1911) = disturbances in the town of Fez led to French military intervention,
Germany complained this went against the Algeciras Act so they sent a gunboat (Panther) to Agadir. Germany
continued attempts to bully France into giving her the French Congo in return for Germany giving up all
interests in Morocco - G gained 2 strips of land in the Congo but had to accept French control of Morocco
German actions could be seen as aggressive and aimed at causing tensions,
and also was another failure to undermine the Anglo-French entente
German humiliation created bitterness
Haldane Mission = Lord Haldane (GB) wanted to make a treaty to stop
German naval aggression but German demands prevent this
happening - they wanted Britain to agree not to intervene in a
European war. During negotiations, Germany passed another Naval
Agreement, thus showing that Germany was determined for war and
was willing to antagonise Britain rather than stop war preparations
Germany was intent on a general European war before 1914 and saw the
Austro-Serbian crisis in 1914 as an unmissable opportunity to bring one about
(heir to the Austrian throne was murdered by a Bosnian Serb nationalist - 28 July)
At a meeting of the German Imperial War Council in December 1912, William
II and others argued in favour of a war against Russia sooner rather than later
In July 1914 Germany gave Austria a 'blank cheque' to deal with
Serbia knowing that this was likely to lead to a general European war
Germany formed alliances earlu, e.g. the Triple Alliance (1882) with Austria-Hungary and
Italy and the Dreikaiserbund (1881) - a peace understanding between Austria-Hungary,
Russia and Germany. These were perhaps to secure support in the event of a war
Members of Germany's ruling class, believing themselves to be facing
a crisis at home that jeopardised their political future and foreign
policy ambitions, saw war as a solution to their domestic problems
The SPD became the largest party in the Reichstag
in 1912 and further SPD gains in future elections coud
have made it difficult to pass the military budget
The Zabern Incident showed
the army and ruling class in
general to be unpopular
Shared Guilt - Imperialism
The ruling classes in capitalist countries were aiming to expand overseas, making conflict inevitable
French ambitions in the Moroccan
Crisis evidenced expansionist aims
Germany's Weltpolitik policy show
their aim of 'Empire building'
Britain had been increasing its international control over the
centuries and In 1900 The British Empire was the largest in
the world with control of over 419,000,000 people
The Balkan League (Bulgaria, Serbia, Greece and Montenegro)
was formed with the purpose of seizing territory from the
collpasing Ottomon Empire - this led to the Balkans War (1912)
that increased tensions between Serbia, Russia, Austria and
Germany and thus led to the July Crisis which resulted in war
Shared Guilt - Realpolitik, the
alliance system and arms race
The Arms Race was a source of tension before 1914
Britain wanted a larger navy than France and
Russia combined and already had a superior
navy in Europe so wanted to maintain this
Germany wanted to challenge British naval supremacy so began Flottenpolitik and Navy Laws - this sparked the
naval arms race with Britain wanting to expand further (led to the development of the HMS Dreadnought (1906)) and
Germany also launching massive naval expenditure to avoid falling further behind
Alliances caused much tension in Europe as some
(e.g. Triple Entente) were seen as a threat
The Moroccan crises originated as an attempt by
the Germans to destroy the Anglo-French entente
All major powers in Europe made
allliances prior to 1914, not just Germany
Realpolitik
All countries compete for survival and want to be powerful to reduce threats from
other nations and as it's in the national interest - this competition led to the war
Alliances made between countries to deter
other nations led to tension and fears of
threats from powerful nations in alliances
Shared guilt - Inflexible war plans and 'Schlieffen Plan'
Schlieffen Plan = German high command's solution to the problem with fighting
France and Russia at the same time - G didn't want to fight 2 full scale campaigns
against numerically superior opponents so aimed to take advantage of Russia's
inability to mobilise quickly and to defeat France first, before turning to Russia
This was Germany's only plan for a war against Russia - a war against Russia inevitably meant a war against France as
well therefore the Schlieffen Plan limited Germany's options in the July Crisis - also it had involved 10 years of planning
The Great Powers in 1914 found themselves boxed
in by war plans they had made (main advocate of
this view = British historian A.J.P Taylor
On 29-30 July Russia's generals, knowing
it took 6 weeks to move the country's
widely dispersed forces into position
pressured a hesitant Tsar into ordering
mobilisation as a precautionary measure
Army chiefs used the requirements of their war plans to
try to pressure political leaders into making decisions
Encirclement - Triple Entente to blame
After the Kaiser refused to renew the Reassurance Treaty between Germany and
Russia (guaranteed each country wouldn't attack the other) France saw the
opportunity to gain an ally in the newly isolated Russia - France and Russia became
allies in 1894, both committing to support the other in the event of a German attack
Early 20th Century = Britain ended 'splendid isolation' by aligning itself with France
and Russia against Germany - not a formal alliance but Anglo-French military
conversations took place from 1906 onwards (e.g. discussed deployment of of British
troops in France in the event of war against German, also 1912 Anglo-French naval
agreement = Britain promised to defend France's north coast against German attack
Following Russia's defeat in the Russo-Japanese war
(1904-5), Russia began a major reform of the armed
forces - this alarmed Germany, could have been seen as
a threat
The First Moroccan Crisis increased
German's fear of encirclement
A humiliating event for Germany which strengthened the Anglo-French entente and didn't
destroy the French/Russian friendship from the Treaty of Bjorko (1905) as was hoped -
Germany hoped closer bonds would be made between Berlin and St Petersburg but those
in the Russian foreign office didn't want their friendship with France to be damaged
At the Algeciras Conference Austria-Hungary was the only country
that supported Germany
Germany may have intervened in Morocco in an attempt to destroy
links between Britain, France and Russia as it felt threatened, and
this may have also been the case in the Second Moroccan Crisis
German was fearful of the
power of the Triple Entente
1904 = combined armies of Russia and France
outnumbered those of Austria and Germany by
260,000, by 1914 the figure was over 1 million
In the years before 1914, the military
spending of the Triple Entente was much
higher than that of the Triple Alliance
Many surviving documents show prominent German political and military
figures expressing concern about Russia's growing military power
Britain moved away from 'splendid isolation' and
began increasing its navy (Two Power Standard)
Germany attempted to convince Britain to join
the Triple Alliance but Britain refused
The Balkans War strengthened Germany's ideas of being encircled
Germany's Army Bill of June 1913 increased the army's
size by 170,000 troops and in response the French and
Russians increased the length of service in their armies