Trend Prediction on Twitter

Trend Prediction on Twitter

1. Evaluating Important Factors

   • Content Factors
     • Describe the properties of a trend
       • Semantic Analysis
       • Lexical Analysis
       • Sentimental Analysis
   • Context Factors
     • Describe the environment in which the trend is propagating
   • Comparison of Trend Factors
     • Factor Importance Analysis
     • Prediction Performance Analysis
     • Comparison of Prediction Models

2. Effective Models

   • Prediction Models
     • ARX model (Auto Regressive model with eXternal input)
     • Nonlinear ARX (NARX) model
     • Linear dynamic system (LDS)
     • Recurrent Nonlinear ARX (RNARX) network

3. Evaluating hashtag trend on twitter

   • Dataset and Preprocessing