Demographic Transition Model

Demographic Transition Model

1. The demographic transition model. Not many countries are in stage one. This is when there is high death rate and high birth rate. This brings the total population down

   • The reason why this is, is because there is no family planning and they use their children for farming and jobs.

2. Stage 2 is found in many African countries. There is a high birth rate but a fall death rate

   • The natural increase has increased because there is a rapid falling death rate before birth rate, and the total population has increased too. There is improvements in the medical care

3. Stage 3 is where both the birth rate and death rate decrease. Parents begin to family plan. They want to have a good education for their children.

   • Urbanisation leads to less children. The price of housing in urban areas are much more expensive than rural areas so families are much smaller
     • Child labour is decreasing so much more children go into education. Girls go into education more and this reduces fertility rates.

4. Stage 4 and five is when birth rate and death rate has decreased rapidly. Stage 5 is when theorists believe that birth rate will fall under the death rate

   • This leads to an ageing population and an increasing dependancy ratio as the working population gets smaller.

5. What is wrong with the DTM?

   • The DTM doesn't take account of the migration rates in the couuntry
   • It takes in account of theories that could instantly change at any minute
   • It's hard to group some of the countries because some of them are NIC's
   • Doesn't take in account of urban and rural families.
   • Doesen't take in account of the policies of some of the countries e.g China

6. What is good about the DTM?

   • The DTM relates to every country
   • It is simple to read
   • Can draw links and can say what could of caused the increase/decrease in either birth rate or death rate

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