13Prob Bag of Tricks TAIL PROPIRTION

Question	Answer
1st prompt	Based on this simulation I can see...
2nd prompt	Prob of tail proportion in context ....the prob of getting 6 or more yellows is 12%...
3rd prompt	more than 5%--> result could be due to chance alone less than 5%--> unlikely due to chance alone ...This is more than 5%, and so it is possible for this to happen under chance alone...
4th prompt	result could be due to chance alone--> I cannot make the call that... result unlikely due to chance alone--> I can make the call that ...Therefore I cannot make the call that the spinner has anything wrong or unrandom about it.
tail proportion more than 5%	Based on this simulation I can see the prob of getting 6 OR MORE yellows is 12%. This is more than 5%, and so it is possible for this to happen under chance alone. Therefore I cannot make the call that the spinner has anything wrong or unrandom about it.
tail proportion is less than 5%	Based on this simulation I can seethe prob of getting 6 OR MORE yellows is 3%. This is less than 5%, and so it is unlikely for this to happen under chance alone. Therefore I can make the call that the spinner is not likely to be truly random, and perhaps might not be weighted perfectly
fraction (the usual way a tail proportion comes) to a percentage (important to figure out whther it is more or less than 5%)	Num divided by Den times 100 P(6 or more) = 13/950 13 divided by 950 times 100

Resource summary

	Created by Anzar Chida over 4 years ago