Voting models

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A Levels Government and Politics (Participation and Voting behaviour) Mind Map on Voting models, created by dottydiva96 on 03/01/2014.
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Mind Map by dottydiva96, updated more than 1 year ago
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Created by dottydiva96 over 10 years ago
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Voting models
  1. Primacy factors - class, age, ethnicity, region, gender
    1. Recency factors - issues, events, leaders, media attention
      1. The Primacy Model
        1. Suggests long term factors are more important than short term factors in deciding elections
          1. Supporters of this view tend to see stability on electoral behaviour rather than volatilty
          2. The recency model
            1. Voting patterns are volatile
              1. Processes such as embourgeiosement have led to class and partisan dealignment
                1. Short term factors are more important
                  1. Average of 10 mil voters make their minds up in last month of general election
                  2. Social structures model
                    1. Supports primary model
                      1. Emphasizes importance of social cleavages (class, ethnicity, occupation and gender) on electoral outcomes
                        1. Suggests relative stability in voting behaviour as cosial factors change slowly
                        2. Party indentification model
                          1. Individuals identify with a party and stick with it
                            1. 1950's - over 90% of voters went Labour or Conservative
                              1. In 2010,only 65.1%
                              2. Those who strongly identify with a party dropped to 15% by 2001
                              3. Partisan dealignment - process of weakening party ties
                                1. Rational choice model
                                  1. Sees voters as making considered, ratonional judgements on the basis of party policies, issues and party leaders
                                    1. Retrospective judgement
                                      1. Based on how parties have performed previously
                                        1. Issues at the time affect this
                                          1. 2010 election - Conservatives talked about how they would protect the economy after Labour, and Labour pointed out problems of Conservative plans to make significant cuts in public services
                                            1. Reminds voters of administrations during the 1980's and 1990's
                                          2. Prospective judgement
                                            1. Based on the perception of how a party might perform
                                            2. Spatial model
                                              1. Parties are most likely to attract voters if they adopt a median point on the political spectrum
                                              2. Valence model
                                                1. Parties are liklely to have electoral success if they can convince voters of their delivery on key issues (economy, law, national security)
                                              3. Voting context models
                                                1. Nature of election, importance of he resulting institution and the electoral system in operation taken into consideration before vote
                                                  1. 2004 European elections, Conservatives most popular yet they were second to Labour in 2001 and 2005 general elections
                                                  2. Dominant ideology model
                                                    1. A dominant ideology benefits the ruling elite
                                                      1. Elite uses its influence in the media and business to orchestrate elections to its advantage
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