Population Change and Sustainable Development

Population Change and Sustainable Development

1. China

   • History
     • Great Leap Forward
     • Famin and Unemployment
     • New Leadership
     • Longer, Later, Fewer
   • The Policy
     • 1979
     • Social Compensation Fee
     • Granny Police
     • Changes
   • Successes
     • Prevented 400 Million births
     • Fertility Rate - 1960 5.47 - 2010 - 1.58
     • Government target population - 2000 - 1.2bn. Actual - 2000 - 1.2bn
   • Sustainable?
     • Gender Imbalance (120 boys: 100 girls)
       • Bare Branches
     • Ageing population
       • 4 - 2 - 1 problem
       • diminished workforce
     • social issues
       • female infanticide
       • little emperors
       • ethical?

2. Thailand

   • 1970
     • Fetility Rate - 6.5
     • Growth Rate 3.2%
     • GDP $110
   • The Policy
     • Creative approach to family planning
     • Trademark - condoms!
     • making contraceptives widely available even in remote rural areas
     • Egalitarianism and Bhuddism meant success
     • Vasectomies offered free on King's birthday!
     • linked with economic development
       • loans given to people practicing family planning
       • rice and pig banks, no money involved
     • 2010
       • Fertility Rate - 1.56
       • Growth Rate - 0.3%
       • GDP $5473
   • HIV/AIDS
     • still high prevalence rate - 1.4%
     • without the campaign it would be 10x higher