(6) Voting behavior - Short-term factors and voting
Description
A level People and Politics (Elections and voting) Mind Map on (6) Voting behavior - Short-term factors and voting, created by Marcus Danvers on 05/01/2014.
(6) Voting behavior -
Short-term factors and voting
More important in explaining
outcome of elections
Policies
Wrong policies can damage a party - 1983
labour "longest suicide note in history"
Labour becoming electable
started with a policy review
2003 Torys try to be come more
electable by revising policies on the
Enviroment and Public services
Performance
the idea that "government lose
election; opposition so not win them"
Labour 2010 performance was damaged by there lose of
repertation on the economy and the subsequent sharp recession
However, tory lost in 1997, despite 7
years of steady economic growth
Leader
parties place faith in there
leader to win the election
Successful leaders have to
demonstrate a number of qualities
Accessibility - Leaders must be telegenic
and demonstrate a relaxed "like-ability"
Trust - voters need to believe
that what their leaders say is true
Strength - Leaders have to demonstrate
that they can "run the show"
Blair believed to be a electoral asset for
the 1997 and 2001 elections
By 2005 personal appeal
had diminished significantly
Not an electoral liability, Howard and
Kennedy behind him in the polls - 15%
US-style televised debates enhanced
the importants of leaders for victory
"Cleggmania" sweeped the country
due to Clegg success in the debates
Less popular Lib Dem policy causted Cameron performance
in the debates to be increase - partly due to Mordock Papers
Little evidence that the debates
had an impact on voters shifting
partys, marginal impact on turnout
Did cause Brown to lag
further behind Cameron
Party image
Labour had a party image problem
in the 80's - "cloth cap" party
90's Conservatives had
a "nasty party" image
"Get rich quick" associated ethos - little
sympathy for the younge and other minorities
Rebranding procduced a 5% swing
form Labour to Conservatives
Cameron try to "detoxify" the party image embracign "Green"
policies, more inclusive appeal and more open cercern about
plight of the poor and the role of public services
Party continual "rebrand" to try
and "connect" with voters
Campaigning
£40 million + spend on
campaiging in 2005
The net impact of national campaigning may be less significant
than for example gettind the backing the Murdoch papers
Little change on voters chioce
form campaign start to polling day
Local campaigning can make a diffrence. Increased in
"targeting" voting for key seats has artaficially concentrated
their support to have the greates impact
Tactical voting
used in large scale in 97, occurs when two parties are close to one another in
policy and ideological terms for their supporters to be willing to vote for the
other party in order to keep their least preferred party out of power
1997 and 2001 favoured Labour and
Lib Dem's and damaged Torys
More complex in 2005 and 2010
Divitions over Iraq war -
Labour and Lib Dem's
Fewer Lib dem voters were willing to lend there votes to
Labour and Labour more willing to vote Lib Dem over Iraq
Explaining declining turnout
Low turnout in 2001 and 2005 -
how can Democracy be "renewed"
Reform - elctoral reform, e-democracy
and intro of compolsory voting
Two spcological factors
have impact on turnouts
Link between turnout
and education
Better more likely
Should have increased due to high
levels of higher educations
Change in size of
ethnic minority
How are more
likely not to vote
Increase slowly in
population could casue fall
Partisan dealignment
may cause turnout fall
A declin in party identification means that people may be
less concerned about the outcome of elections
May be the fact is there was "little encouragement
for people to vote" in 2001 and 2005
A less than popular govt fitting a
more unpopular opposition
Little choice in policy and ideas
2010, unpopular PM leading an unpopular Govt, confroning an
oppostion that only partially "detoxified" it image and whose
austerity package alarmed important sections of electorate
Increassing turnout lie's with major
party themselves and there capacity to
regain public trust and credibitly