Over 2012/13, to what extent was
the output gap a cause for
concern?
Output Gap
The difference between actual and
potential output. When actual output
exceeds potential output, the gap is
positive. When actual output is less than
potential output, the gap is negative
PPF
Assumes that all resources
are used efficiently
Technology determines the position
of the potential output line, results in
movements on the ppf
We can't be on the line in reality: due
to lack of knowledge and inefficiencies
Business Cycle
Actual growth tends to
fluctuate, and could be a
result of the business cycle
4 Stages:
Upturn,
Expansion,
Peak,
Recession
Since the recession of 2008, the
UK has lost a significant amount
of potential output due to the
prolonged nature of the recession
This leaves a
negative output
gap, however it is
difficult to assess
the amount
Factors that influence an output gap
Unemplyment,
Fall in Real
Wages, Spare
Capacity,
Inflation,
Labour
Productivity
Unemployment is seen as an indicator to
show lost potential output. In 2012, the
rate was 7.9% which was lower than
expected. If people are not working it is
difficult to grow in an economy and
therefore to reduce the output gap
Increase in PT jobs as opposed
to FT (Labour Productivity).
Unemployment is still high, but it
is gradually decreasing.
Recession has made it difficult
for firms to be able to supply jobs
Spare Capacity: measures the
extent to which an industry or an
economy is operating below the
maximum sustainable level of
production. Expect inflation to
decrease, but in the UK it hasn't
decreased much
As unemployment
rises, its harder for
workers to bargain
for higher wages,
unemployment
should reduce wage
inflation
Liquidity Trap
Keynesian Economics: when
injections of cash into the
private banking system by a
central bank fail to lower
interest rates and hence fail
to stimulate economic growth
Caused when people hoard cash
because they expect an adverse event
such as deflation and insufficient
aggregate demand