Biodiversity Futures

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Only 18% of earth's land surface is designated as meriting some form of protection. Less than 1% of marine areas are currently protected. Just because an area is declared protected it does not guarantee successful conservation. Effective conservation needs a trained ranger service, scientific monitoring of habitat health and an understanding of the mechanisms of habitats and their ecosystems.

Global Orchestration:

Globally connected society that focuses on global trade

Takes reactive approach to ecosystem problems

Takes strong steps to reduce poverty and inequality and invests in public goods e.g. education/infrastructure

Economic growth is highest in this scenario and predicted population in 2050 is lowest

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Order From Strength:

Regionalised world that is concerned with security and protection

Pays little attention to public goods

Takes reactive approach to ecosystem management

Economic growth is lowestin this scenario and decreases with time while population is highest

Adapting Mosaic:

Regional watershed scale ecosystems are the focus of political and economic activity

Local ecosystems management strategies are common

Societies start to develop a proactive approach to the management of ecosystems

Economic growth rates are initially low but increase in time and the population in 2050 is nearly as high as in the order from strength scenario

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Techno Garden:

Globally connected world relying on environmentally sound technology, using highly managed often engineered ecosystems to deliver service

Proactive approach to management of ecosystems

Economic growth is relatively highand accelerates while populations in 2050 is the mid range of the scenarios

MEAs and MDGs:

Ensure environmental sustainability - managing biodiversity, techno garden

Develop a global partnership for development - debt swap/CITES - global management schemes - techno garden

Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger - global orchestration - conversion of ecosytems to farmland (food)