Biodiversity Futures

Only 18% of earth's land surface is designated as meriting some form of protection. Less than 1% of marine areas are currently protected. Just because an area is declared protected it does not guarantee successful conservation. Effective conservation needs a trained ranger service, scientific monitoring of habitat health and an understanding of the mechanisms of habitats and their ecosystems.Global Orchestration: Globally connected society that focuses on global trade Takes reactive approach to ecosystem problems Takes strong steps to reduce poverty and inequality and invests in public goods e.g. education/infrastructure Economic growth is highest in this scenario and predicted population in 2050 is lowest

Order From Strength: Regionalised world that is concerned with security and protection Pays little attention to public goods Takes reactive approach to ecosystem management Economic growth is lowestin this scenario and decreases with time while population is highest Adapting Mosaic: Regional watershed scale ecosystems are the focus of political and economic activity Local ecosystems management strategies are common Societies start to develop a proactive approach to the management of ecosystems Economic growth rates are initially low but increase in time and the population in 2050 is nearly as high as in the order from strength scenario

Techno Garden: Globally connected world relying on environmentally sound technology, using highly managed often engineered ecosystems to deliver service Proactive approach to management of ecosystems Economic growth is relatively highand accelerates while populations in 2050 is the mid range of the scenarios MEAs and MDGs: Ensure environmental sustainability - managing biodiversity, techno garden Develop a global partnership for development - debt swap/CITES - global management schemes - techno garden Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger - global orchestration - conversion of ecosytems to farmland (food)