Ageing Population

Ageing Population

1. UK Trends

   • Life Expectancy
     • Men
       • 78.1 years
     • Women
       • 82.1 years
   • Elderly Population
     • More pensioners than under 16s
     • 11 million over 65s
     • 3 million over 80s
     • 73% rise in Centenarians in a decade
     • 36% of over 65s live alone
       • 3.8 million
     • 14 million grandparents
       • 1.5 million are under 50
   • Winter
     • Average daily extra deaths
       • Over 65s in England and Wales
         • 206 per day
         • 1 per 7 minutes
     • Every degree colder than 20°C
       • Mortality rises by 1-2%
   • Low Fertility Rate
     • 1.7
     • Below replacement level of 2.1
       • By 1970s

2. Government Predictions

   • Elderly dependents
     • Over 65s
       • Rise by 50%
         • Next 17 years
       • Increase by 23%
         • 2010-2018
     • 1 in 3 people will be over 60
       • 2086
     • Support ratio decline
       • 2:9:1 = 2040s
   • UK population
     • 62.6 million in 2010
     • 65 million in 2017
     • 70 million in 2028
     • 73 million in 2035
       • 10.2 million growth 2010-2035
   • Average age
     • 40 in 2010
     • 43 by 2035
     • 44.7 by 2060
   • Life expectancy
     • Men
       • 83.3 by 2035
     • Women
       • 27 by 2033

3. World population

   • World population
     • Over 60s
       • 8% in 1950
       • 10% in 2005
       • Next 40 years = double
         • 22% in 2050
       • 894 million in 2010
         • 2.43 billion by 2050
     • Median age
       • 40+ in 19 countries
         • 2010
           • Japan = 44.7
           • Germany = 44.3
           • Italy = 43.2
     • Oldest old = 80+
       • Highest in...
         • Japan
         • Italy
         • France
         • Sweden
         • Germany
       • By 2050
         • 10% of 15 countries populations

4. Issues

   • State Pensions
     • Age Rise
       • Not enough workers to support elderly
   • NHS & Social Care
     • Burden?
       • Pressure on capacity
         • Higher demand
           • Care homes
             • Family formation changes
               • Decrease in family support for elderly
                 • Less children
                 • More divorces
           • Operations
   • Economic Growth
     • Preventions of productivity
       • Decline of workers
       • Increase elderly dependency
         • Drains resources
           • Would have been used for economic growth