Neto and Cox, 'Electoral Institutions, cleavage structures and the number of parties

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Mind Map on Neto and Cox, 'Electoral Institutions, cleavage structures and the number of parties, created by iainajniven on 01/05/2013.
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Neto and Cox, 'Electoral Institutions, cleavage structures and the number of parties
  1. Central claim is that that electoral laws and social cleavages interact together to produce the number of parties in the political system
    1. Quotes
      1. The effective number of political parties appears to depend on the product of social heterogeneity and electoral permissiveness
        1. Multipartism arises as the joint product of many exploitable cleavages and a permissive electoral system
        2. Social cleavage - a social division in which the groups are conscious of their social divisions, there is an organization for this idenity
          1. Electoral systems - a set of laws and party rules that regulate electoral competition between and within parties
            1. Goal was to resolve debate about relative importance of sociological ad institutional factors
              1. Research Question - What effect do electoral institutions and social cleavages have on the number of political parties
                1. Do electoral laws and social cleavages affect the number of effective legislative parties, effective elective parties, effectvi presidential candidate
                2. Hypothesis - The effective number of parties should be multiplicative rather than an additive function of the permissiveness of the electoral system
                  1. Research Design
                    1. Large-n cross case statistical anaylsis
                      1. Analyses the degree of correlation between the number of effective parties
                        1. Measures of electoral system perissiveness
                          1. Data from 54 elections around the world, held as close to 1985 as possible, both parliament and presidential
                            1. Cases selected on basis that elections qualified as free by Free House and analysed data using multivariate regression
                            2. Design provides opportunity to asses association between different factors and dependent variables
                              1. Large number of observations means there is an opportunity to falsify the hypothesis
                                1. Case selection means have more diverse sample than previous studies - many less developed countries included
                                  1. Used OLS regression analysis to estimate how much of the dependent variable can be explained by each independent variable
                                    1. Dependent variable - data collected and indexes and constructed of independent variable
                                      1. Effective number of parliamentary parties
                                        1. Effective number of electoral parties
                                          1. Effective number of presidential candidates
                                            1. Elections if they happen
                                              1. Electoral permissiveness of lower and upper tier electoral system
                                                1. Data on ethnic and on language group fragmentation
                                              2. Key Findings
                                                1. Variation in number of effective parliamentary parties can be accounted for by the join impact of the number of effective elective parties
                                                  1. and the permissiveness of the electoral system
                                                  2. The number of effective presidential candidates is also the product of the interaction of the permissiveness of the presidential electoral system
                                                    1. Amount of variance relatively low
                                                      1. Robustness Check
                                                        1. Split sample and checked results hold for both developed and less developed countries
                                                          1. No effect on main findings
                                                      2. Key Inference - Electoral permissiveness and the number of cleavages interact together to produce the number of parties in the party system
                                                        1. Evaluation
                                                          1. Able to test hypothesis in a broad set of cases and establish causal effect
                                                            1. Replicable
                                                              1. Breath vs. trade off - little information about how factors work, much about how they operated across the cases
                                                                1. Focus on correlation as evidence of causation not mechaism
                                                                  1. To establish casual mechanism would have to race the theorized process over time - case study
                                                                    1. No evidence presented about endogenity / recipocal causation - a question posed by sociological approach
                                                                      1. Ethnic fragmentation is only 1 cleavage and is a measure of diversity not politicised cleavagess
                                                                        1. Stoll replicates results with 16 alternative measures of cleavage diversity
                                                                          1. In only 4 of these models is he interaction between electoral permissiveness and electoral diversity statistically significant
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