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Predictable Surprises
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- 1Key Idea-Something that could have been predicted and prevented, doesn't look at these.
-Can act in ways which are logical and purposeful but are self defeating
-Bazermaan: Plenty of evidence available to decision makers to avoid something bad happening in future if they take note on that evidence yet they don't as they are bias or acting out wishful belief. - 2Ego-CentrismBase searches for solutions on our own self interests.
- 3Discount the futureavoidance of predictable surprises in resources usually means investing in resources for a future but uncertain reduction of loss
- 4Organisational roots-Derives from poor learning, scanning of the environment and individual knowledge.
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- Decision Making Fichas sobre Predictable Surprises , creado por Ben Cheesman el 14/01/2019.
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- Ben Cheesman
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