More than Common Sense 9/10/18

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More than Common Sense 9/10/18

Hindsight Bias:

- "I knew it all along" phenomenon.

We tend to believe, after learning about an outcome, that we would have foreseen it. We know the answer to the Jeopardy question only after it was answered.

Overconfidence:

- We tend to think we know more than we actually do, anagrams study reflects this.

Pseudoscience:

- Popular beliefs

Confirmation Bias:

- When you look for evidence to confirm your beliefs while ignoring all other evidence that may disprove it, pre conceived notion

Scientific Method:

Theory:

Hypothesis:

-testable prediciton to enable us to accept, reject, revise the theory

Research Observations:

- Application of a hypothesis through systematic observation / manipulation of variables, research in turn supports or disproves a theory.

-Operational definition is a precise definition of a variable being obvserved